Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Hayes 49.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 72.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Jenner
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Jenner
Hayes
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
4
Jenner
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Jenner
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
48.5% (557)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
53.3% (107)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
58.3% (12)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hayes
Home
56.7% (693)
50.8% (313)
Away
52.7% (693)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Jenner
Hayes
P1
57.1%
52.3%
P2
54.1%
47.7%
P3
53.0%
48.4%
OT
61.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |