Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Hayes 47.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 26-25 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 58.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 64.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 64.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Jenner
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
25
(51 meetings)
26
25
Jenner
Hayes
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
12
13
Jenner
Hayes
25 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Jenner
Hayes
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
8
6
Jenner
Hayes
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
47.5% (6,708)
+7.0%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
51.7% (702)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
45.3% (697)
+3.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hayes
Home
54.5% (4,051)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Jenner
Hayes
P1
53.7%
47.5%
P2
53.5%
47.6%
P3
54.4%
47.9%
OT
54.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2020 | OT | 00:44 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |