Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Hayes 56.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Jenner
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jenner
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
56.6% (724)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
57.0% (79)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
65.7% (35)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hayes
Home
52.9% (512)
58.0% (405)
Away
55.4% (601)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Jenner
Hayes
P1
55.0%
54.7%
P2
54.5%
55.7%
P3
53.6%
60.2%
OT
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |