Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Hayes 51.7% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Jenner
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
51.6% (386)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
53.2% (47)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
60.0% (20)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hayes
Home
45.7% (81)
50.5% (200)
Away
54.8% (124)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Jenner
Hayes
P1
46.6%
58.8%
P2
58.3%
49.3%
P3
50.0%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%