Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 60.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 68.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Jenner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
17
(33 meetings)
16
17
Jenner
Zibanejad
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
9
Jenner
Zibanejad
19 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
5
Jenner
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
50.1% (1,051)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
58.3% (120)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
41.9% (227)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zibanejad
Home
56.7% (693)
49.0% (681)
Away
52.7% (693)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Jenner
Zibanejad
P1
57.1%
49.9%
P2
54.1%
47.6%
P3
53.0%
51.1%
OT
61.9%
48.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |