Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 64.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 64.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Jenner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
18
(30 meetings)
12
18
Jenner
Zibanejad
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
4
Jenner
Zibanejad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
5
Jenner
Zibanejad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
9
Jenner
Zibanejad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
50.9% (913)
+3.6%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
59.0% (39)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
37.5% (160)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zibanejad
Home
52.9% (512)
51.1% (536)
Away
55.4% (601)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Jenner
Zibanejad
P1
55.0%
50.1%
P2
54.5%
47.3%
P3
53.6%
50.7%
OT
52.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2023 | OT | 00:21 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |