Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Jenner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jenner
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
53.4% (770)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
46.2% (39)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
44.7% (141)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zibanejad
Home
51.0% (143)
49.0% (429)
Away
49.2% (124)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Jenner
Zibanejad
P1
51.7%
53.0%
P2
40.5%
51.1%
P3
57.3%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |