Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 47 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 78-67 in 145 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 57.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Jenner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
78
(145 meetings)
67
78
Jenner
Zibanejad
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
27
29
Jenner
Zibanejad
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
19
23
Jenner
Zibanejad
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
21
26
Jenner
Zibanejad
47 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
50.9% (11,719)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
52.2% (1,849)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
41.5% (1,790)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zibanejad
Home
54.5% (4,051)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Jenner
Zibanejad
P1
53.7%
50.4%
P2
53.5%
49.7%
P3
54.4%
49.8%
OT
54.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2023 | OT | 00:21 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |