Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 95.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 92.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Jenner
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jenner
MacKinnon
Last 7: Jenner 6-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
42.8% (1,039)
+11.5%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
50.8% (118)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
46.2% (26)
+4.2%
On even strength, Jenner has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jenner is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Jenner shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Jenner
MacKinnon
Home
54.1% (575)
48.0% (586)
Away
54.1% (582)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Jenner
MacKinnon
P1
54.1%
46.1%
P2
53.1%
41.5%
P3
54.9%
43.8%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |