Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 85.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 89.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 92.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Jenner
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
Last 5: Jenner 5-0 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
45.8% (755)
+8.3%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
48.3% (60)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
27.6% (29)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Jenner
MacKinnon
Home
53.2% (609)
49.5% (396)
Away
54.0% (589)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Jenner
MacKinnon
P1
49.7%
50.2%
P2
53.6%
43.8%
P3
56.5%
41.4%
OT
65.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |