Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Dowd 51.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 58.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jenner
Dowd
Last 6: Jenner 2-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Jenner
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
51.2% (381)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
100.0% (2)
-42.6%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
53.9% (89)
-3.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
54.1% (575)
54.6% (218)
Away
54.1% (582)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
54.1%
50.6%
P2
53.1%
55.1%
P3
54.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |