Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 95.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 61.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Jenner
Dowd
Last 9: Jenner 6-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
49.2% (778)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
58.3% (12)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
44.0% (234)
+2.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
52.9% (512)
46.3% (492)
Away
55.4% (601)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
55.0%
49.1%
P2
54.5%
48.2%
P3
53.6%
46.9%
OT
52.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |