Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 81.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
55.2% (625)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
57.1% (7)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
38.2% (220)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
56.7% (693)
53.7% (445)
Away
52.7% (693)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
57.1%
48.8%
P2
54.1%
49.3%
P3
53.0%
54.0%
OT
61.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |