Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Dowd 49.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 81.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
51.7% (644)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
0.0% (2)
+52.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
41.6% (221)
+11.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
51.0% (143)
48.6% (451)
Away
49.2% (124)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
51.7%
49.1%
P2
40.5%
47.3%
P3
57.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |