Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Dowd 49.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 86.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 86.3%
13.7%
86.3%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
52.2% (835)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
60.0% (10)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
44.0% (350)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
45.7% (81)
51.5% (619)
Away
54.8% (124)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
46.6%
51.7%
P2
58.3%
51.6%
P3
50.0%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%