Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Dowd 49.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 61.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jenner
Dowd
Last 8: Jenner 3-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Jenner
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Jenner
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
50.7% (379)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
64.3% (14)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
46.5% (157)
+0.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
54.8% (586)
53.7% (244)
Away
55.5% (580)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
57.3%
53.6%
P2
52.5%
44.1%
P3
55.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |