Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Sturm 56.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 81.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 54.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 57.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Jenner
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Jenner
Sturm
Last 10: Jenner 1-9 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
3
Jenner
Sturm
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
11
Jenner
Sturm
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
57.1% (2,719)
-2.6%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
61.3% (62)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
51.0% (498)
-2.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Jenner
Sturm
Home
54.5% (4,051)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Jenner
Sturm
P1
53.7%
56.5%
P2
53.5%
54.9%
P3
54.4%
57.4%
OT
54.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | OT | 02:45 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |