Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 73.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 61.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Jenner
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
62.1% (356)
-11.8%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
75.0% (4)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
38.7% (62)
+20.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Jenner
Sturm
Home
45.7% (81)
61.8% (191)
Away
54.8% (124)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Jenner
Sturm
P1
46.6%
58.0%
P2
58.3%
57.9%
P3
50.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%