Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.0%). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Sturm 52.5% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 69.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Jenner
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
54.0% (480)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
28.6% (7)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
50.0% (102)
+0.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Jenner
Sturm
Home
53.2% (609)
54.0% (287)
Away
54.0% (589)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Jenner
Sturm
P1
49.7%
53.5%
P2
53.6%
51.0%
P3
56.5%
55.1%
OT
65.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%