Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Sturm 53.6% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 73.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jenner
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
54.6% (271)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
54.4% (90)
-1.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Jenner
Sturm
Home
51.0% (143)
53.0% (168)
Away
49.2% (124)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Jenner
Sturm
P1
51.7%
58.2%
P2
40.5%
53.2%
P3
57.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%