Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 60.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Jenner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
56.2% (983)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
55.5% (254)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
52.0% (102)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Jenner
O'Reilly
Home
45.7% (81)
56.2% (697)
Away
54.8% (124)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Jenner
O'Reilly
P1
46.6%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
55.5%
P3
50.0%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%