Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Jenner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
55.4% (826)
-5.6%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
57.9% (221)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.4% (129)
+2.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Jenner
O'Reilly
Home
51.0% (143)
55.8% (579)
Away
49.2% (124)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Jenner
O'Reilly
P1
51.7%
57.7%
P2
40.5%
54.8%
P3
57.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%