Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 54.9%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.5% vs Seguin 54.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 57.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 58.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Jenner
Seguin
Last 9: Jenner 4-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Jenner
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (374)
55.1% (1,036)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.4% (56)
56.9% (174)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (53)
52.2% (230)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
53.6% (239)
58.9% (703)
Away
57.4% (244)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
56.6%
54.5%
P2
56.6%
53.7%
P3
53.6%
57.0%
OT
40.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |