Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenner
Seguin
Last 7: Jenner 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
56.5% (712)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
59.7% (67)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
44.9% (49)
+5.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
53.2% (609)
58.5% (402)
Away
54.0% (589)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
49.7%
58.4%
P2
53.6%
54.7%
P3
56.5%
54.1%
OT
65.2%
72.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |