Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Hughes 36.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 56.5%
Defensive zone
Marchand 55.3%
Neutral zone
Marchand 64.2%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Marchand
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marchand
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
1
0
Marchand
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
36.0% (2,887)
+0.6%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
38.8% (224)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
31.0% (42)
+0.8%
On power play, Marchand has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Marchand
Hughes
Home
39.9% (363)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
37.6% (322)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Marchand
Hughes
P1
41.3%
36.9%
P2
35.0%
33.6%
P3
39.2%
38.1%
OT
37.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
37.9%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Brad Marchand |