Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.5% vs 37.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs Hughes 39.2% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 62.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Marchand
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
37.9% (623)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
36.4% (11)
+38.6%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Marchand is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Marchand shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Marchand
Hughes
Home
37.5% (8)
36.6% (314)
Away
40.0% (5)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Marchand
Hughes
P1
28.6%
36.4%
P2
40.0%
35.6%
P3
100.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%