Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Hughes 40.3% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 66.5%
Defensive zone
Marchand 61.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Marchand
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
35.6% (281)
+8.8%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.0% (36)
-8.3%
On even strength, Marchand has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Marchand is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Marchand shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Marchand
Hughes
Home
46.2% (26)
38.4% (198)
Away
41.4% (29)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Marchand
Hughes
P1
44.8%
44.3%
P2
30.8%
34.2%
P3
55.6%
34.0%
Final 5 min
30.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%