Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Hughes 37.9% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.6%
Defensive zone
Marchand 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Marchand
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
34.9% (444)
-5.2%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
50.0% (14)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
On power play, Marchand has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Marchand shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Marchand
Hughes
Home
43.3% (30)
37.4% (235)
Away
33.3% (27)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Marchand
Hughes
P1
50.0%
37.1%
P2
45.0%
33.7%
P3
13.3%
34.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%