Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (34.1% vs 34.6%). Marchand wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Hughes 38.0% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 64.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Marchand
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
34.5% (342)
-3.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
42.9% (7)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Marchand is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Marchand shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Marchand
Hughes
Home
42.1% (19)
32.6% (187)
Away
27.3% (22)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Marchand
Hughes
P1
31.6%
33.9%
P2
28.6%
34.2%
P3
50.0%
36.5%
Final 5 min
16.7%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%