Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 79.8%
Defensive zone
Marchand 57.9%
Neutral zone
Marchand 77.2%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Marchand
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Marchand
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Marchand
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Marchand
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
57.5% (914)
-27.8%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
60.5% (309)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
59.1% (22)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Marchand shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Marchand
Tavares
Home
43.3% (30)
61.0% (661)
Away
33.3% (27)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Marchand
Tavares
P1
50.0%
58.6%
P2
45.0%
57.8%
P3
13.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
25.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |