Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-19.8%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Marchand
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
57.7% (998)
-35.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
56.4% (39)
+18.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Marchand is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Marchand shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Marchand
Tavares
Home
37.5% (8)
59.7% (610)
Away
40.0% (5)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Marchand
Tavares
P1
28.6%
57.2%
P2
40.0%
58.5%
P3
100.0%
59.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%