Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Tavares 58.7% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 75.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Marchand
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marchand
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
1
0
Marchand
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
59.2% (1,035)
-14.8%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
60.0% (310)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
42.9% (7)
+0.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Marchand is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Marchand shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Marchand
Tavares
Home
46.2% (26)
57.5% (668)
Away
41.4% (29)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Marchand
Tavares
P1
44.8%
58.0%
P2
30.8%
60.1%
P3
55.6%
61.0%
OT
50.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
30.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 02:49 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |