Scouting Report
Keegan Kolesar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Kolesar 43.8% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 52.8%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 60.6%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 54.4%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Marchand
Kolesar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
40.6% (170)
-9.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
50.0% (6)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.3% (12)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Marchand is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Marchand shoots left. Kolesar is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Marchand
Kolesar
Home
42.1% (19)
38.0% (92)
Away
27.3% (22)
42.7% (96)
By Period
Marchand
Kolesar
P1
31.6%
41.0%
P2
28.6%
41.9%
P3
50.0%
37.7%
Final 5 min
16.7%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.4%