Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Kolesar 46.8% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 59.8%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 54.2%
Neutral zone
Marchand 54.5%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Marchand
Kolesar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
30.4% (23)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Kolesar has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Marchand is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Marchand shoots left. Kolesar is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Marchand
Kolesar
Home
43.3% (30)
33.3% (18)
Away
33.3% (27)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Marchand
Kolesar
P1
50.0%
12.5%
P2
45.0%
57.1%
P3
13.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
25.0%
80.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
33.3%