Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Kolesar 48.7% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 63.8%
Defensive zone
Marchand 54.4%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 51.3%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Marchand
Kolesar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
41.7% (12)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.3% (3)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Marchand is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Marchand shoots left. Kolesar is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Marchand
Kolesar
Home
46.2% (26)
40.0% (5)
Away
41.4% (29)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Marchand
Kolesar
P1
44.8%
33.3%
P2
30.8%
33.3%
P3
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
30.8%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.0%