Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs Kolesar 47.5% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 52.6%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 51.8%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Marchand
Kolesar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
33.3% (18)
-11.1%
On even strength, Kolesar has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Marchand is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Marchand shoots left. Kolesar is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Marchand
Kolesar
Home
37.5% (8)
30.0% (10)
Away
40.0% (5)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Marchand
Kolesar
P1
28.6%
14.3%
P2
40.0%
40.0%
P3
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
33.3%