Brad Marchand vs Ryan O'Reilly

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Marchand 40.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-17.2%)
H2H factor O'Reilly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Marchand 85.5%
Defensive zone Marchand 62.7%
Neutral zone Marchand 88.5%
Result Brad Marchand favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Marchand O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 10 (14 meetings)
4
10
Marchand O'Reilly
Last 10: Marchand 2-8 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
2
0
Marchand O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
9
Marchand O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Marchand O'Reilly
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Marchand
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
56.2% (15,260)
-19.6%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
58.8% (3,445)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
51.4% (2,811)
-19.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +19.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Marchand
O'Reilly
Home
39.9% (363)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
37.6% (322)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Marchand
O'Reilly
P1
41.3%
55.6%
P2
35.0%
57.0%
P3
39.2%
55.1%
OT
37.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
37.9%
55.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%
37.0%
38.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%
55.5%
56.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 14, 2023 2 10:10 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 7, 2022 1 09:24 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Apr 19, 2022 1 13:39 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 23, 2019 2 00:00 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 19, 2017 1 15:57 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 21, 2017 3 10:00 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 3, 2016 3 09:43 Offensive Brad Marchand
Nov 7, 2016 3 08:50 Neutral Brad Marchand
Nov 7, 2016 1 14:21 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 4, 2016 3 10:39 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 4, 2016 2 13:52 Defensive Brad Marchand
Feb 4, 2016 1 19:43 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 15, 2016 1 07:43 Offensive Brad Marchand
Dec 26, 2015 2 12:37 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly