Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-17.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 58.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Marchand
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
56.2% (983)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
52.0% (102)
+23.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchand is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Marchand shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Marchand
O'Reilly
Home
37.5% (8)
56.2% (697)
Away
40.0% (5)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Marchand
O'Reilly
P1
28.6%
54.5%
P2
40.0%
55.5%
P3
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%