Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Reinhart 43.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 74.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 54.3%
Neutral zone
Marchand 64.5%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Marchand
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Marchand
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Marchand
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Marchand
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
42.5% (2,173)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
46.5% (525)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
41.3% (339)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Marchand is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Marchand shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Marchand
Reinhart
Home
39.9% (363)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
37.6% (322)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Marchand
Reinhart
P1
41.3%
44.5%
P2
35.0%
40.5%
P3
39.2%
44.5%
OT
37.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
37.9%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |