Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Reinhart 48.8% (-14.4%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 50.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 63.7%
Neutral zone
Marchand 52.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Marchand
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
48.0% (275)
-17.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
48.1% (52)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.1% (32)
-3.1%
On even strength, Reinhart has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Marchand is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Marchand shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Marchand
Reinhart
Home
42.1% (19)
49.8% (201)
Away
27.3% (22)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Marchand
Reinhart
P1
31.6%
54.8%
P2
28.6%
40.5%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
16.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%