Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 57.3%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 68.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.0%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Marchand
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
49.4% (259)
-19.7%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
54.4% (136)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.9% (71)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Marchand is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Marchand shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Marchand
Reinhart
Home
43.3% (30)
54.9% (235)
Away
33.3% (27)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Marchand
Reinhart
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
45.0%
50.0%
P3
13.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%