Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 44.2%). Marchand wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Reinhart 45.1% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 61.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 69.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Marchand
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
44.6% (345)
-0.2%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
43.3% (97)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
43.2% (88)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Marchand is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Marchand shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Marchand
Reinhart
Home
46.2% (26)
47.9% (267)
Away
41.4% (29)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Marchand
Reinhart
P1
44.8%
45.6%
P2
30.8%
42.0%
P3
55.6%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
30.8%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%