Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs Reinhart 42.7% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 64.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 76.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 63.8%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Marchand
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
44.1% (324)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
33.9% (118)
+41.1%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Marchand is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Marchand shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Marchand
Reinhart
Home
37.5% (8)
40.5% (232)
Away
40.0% (5)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Marchand
Reinhart
P1
28.6%
46.4%
P2
40.0%
32.6%
P3
100.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%