Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Cizikas 55.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 92.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Tkachuk
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
57.8% (767)
-12.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
66.7% (18)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
44.9% (176)
+55.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Home
51.1% (233)
56.6% (484)
Away
49.0% (202)
54.5% (477)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cizikas
P1
42.9%
57.2%
P2
52.2%
54.7%
P3
53.7%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |