Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 16 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Cizikas 51.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
21
(35 meetings)
14
21
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Last 10: Tkachuk 8-2 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
13
1
Tkachuk
Cizikas
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
16
Tkachuk
Cizikas
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
4
Tkachuk
Cizikas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
53.4% (8,946)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
55.4% (177)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
44.4% (1,895)
+0.6%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Home
50.7% (1,428)
53.7% (5,498)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
50.1% (5,521)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cizikas
P1
49.4%
53.0%
P2
51.3%
51.1%
P3
49.3%
51.7%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |