Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Cizikas 52.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 83.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 96.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Last 7: Tkachuk 6-1 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Cizikas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Tkachuk
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
53.7% (525)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
100.0% (1)
-42.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.7% (120)
-51.7%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Home
56.0% (175)
58.6% (307)
Away
49.8% (205)
48.7% (339)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cizikas
P1
55.0%
56.7%
P2
51.9%
49.8%
P3
47.3%
53.8%
OT
77.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |