Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Cizikas 53.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 75.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Last 10: Tkachuk 4-6 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Cizikas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
9
Tkachuk
Cizikas
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Tkachuk
Cizikas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
56.4% (757)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
41.2% (17)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
40.6% (165)
-28.1%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cizikas
Home
49.9% (389)
55.0% (473)
Away
46.8% (376)
51.7% (466)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cizikas
P1
44.4%
54.9%
P2
51.8%
50.8%
P3
47.8%
54.5%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |