Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Larkin 52.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 87.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 56.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 87.6%
12.4%
87.6%
Tkachuk
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Tkachuk
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
51.8% (903)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
56.0% (225)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.4% (76)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Larkin
Home
51.1% (233)
55.6% (662)
Away
49.0% (202)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Tkachuk
Larkin
P1
42.9%
49.9%
P2
52.2%
52.7%
P3
53.7%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |