Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 88.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Last 7: Tkachuk 3-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Tkachuk
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
51.6% (126)
-6.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
50.0% (2)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
39.2% (51)
+60.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Home
51.1% (233)
45.3% (64)
Away
49.0% (202)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Tkachuk
Jankowski
P1
42.9%
53.7%
P2
52.2%
45.8%
P3
53.7%
43.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |