Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 20-6 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 97.3%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 62.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 77.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
6
(26 meetings)
20
6
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Last 10: Tkachuk 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
13
2
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
2
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
2
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
42.8% (502)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Home
50.7% (1,428)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
P1
49.4%
47.4%
P2
51.3%
46.6%
P3
49.3%
46.1%
OT
57.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |