Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (+5.7%)
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
49.1% (825)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
65.4% (130)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
34.5% (29)
+65.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +65.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tkachuk is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Tkachuk shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Home
52.9% (87)
52.6% (489)
Away
61.7% (60)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
P1
61.0%
50.3%
P2
59.5%
52.6%
P3
52.4%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%